Future of U.S. Engagement in Southeast Asia under Kamala Harris

Image: Wikipedia/ Twitter of Kamala Harris

[ by Bahauddin Foizee ]

As the landscape of the U.S. politics shifts with Kamala Harris’s ascendance as a leading contender for the presidency, the spotlight on her foreign policy, particularly regarding Southeast Asia, offers a compelling narrative of potential and uncertainty.

This region is not only vital due to its strategic position in the U.S.-China rivalry, but also because it represents a complex relationship that requires nuanced engagement.

Harris’s active involvement in Southeast Asia thus far signals a commendable commitment. Her extensive travels and interactions with regional leaders demonstrate an eagerness to establish strong ties.

However, the effectiveness of this engagement will depend heavily on the caliber of her future foreign policy team. The anticipated shake-up, with potential replacements for established figures like Antony Blinken and Jake Sullivan, could either refresh U.S. strategy or disrupt continuity in a region that is already wary of the U.S. intentions.

While Harris has made strides in diplomatic outreach, the question of economic engagement looms large. The Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF) has been criticized for lacking substantive market access, a glaring gap that may undermine U.S. credibility in the eyes of Southeast Asian nations. As China continues to expand its influence through robust economic partnerships, the U.S. will sooner or later fall out of the game if it doesn’t offer compelling alternatives that resonate with the developmental aspirations of these countries.

Harris’s historical skepticism toward traditional trade agreements raises both hopes and concerns. Her focus on labour rights and environmental standards aligns well with a growing global emphasis on sustainable development. However, if this approach comes at the expense of tangible economic benefits for the region, Harris’s Southeast Asia policy could fail. That is why, Harris will have no option but to craft a vision that balances human rights advocacy with robust economic initiatives.

All in all, Harris has the potential to reshape the U.S. engagement in Southeast Asia significantly, impacting the future of the U.S.’s Indo-Pacific strategy.

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Bahauddin Foizee Written by:

Bahauddin Foizee is a Threat/Risk Intelligence Analyst focusing on the assessment of investment, legal, security, political and geopolitical threat/risk. He also supports other analysts who are involved in assessing environmental, financial and military threat/risk. His insights, analysis and columns on social, legal, political, geo-political and environmental affairs across the Asia-Pacific/Indo-Pacific and the Middle East regions have been widely published on think-tank-publications and media-outlets across the world.